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Modeling Hit Rates Between Minor League Levels

Modeling Hit Rates Between Minor League Levels

Working on figuring out the hit rates for minor leaguer batters between levels. I’d like to take the hit rates(i.e. singles(1B/PA), doubles(2B/PA), triples(3B/PA) and HRs(HR/PA) ) a player had at their previous minor league level and use that data to predict how a player will do at the following level. Similar data has been used as in the previous articles on walk rates and strike out rates. This data set covered 2011-2015 and players with a minimum of 200 PA’s…

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Modeling Walk Rate between minor league levels

Modeling Walk Rate between minor league levels

After reading through Projecting X by Mike Podhorzer I decided to try and predict some rate statistics between minor league levels. Mike states in his book “Projecting rates makes it dramatically easier to adjust a forecast if necessary.”; therefore if a player is injured or will only have a certain number of plate appearances that year I can still attempt to project performance. The first rate statistic I’m going to attempt project is Walk Rate between minor league levels. This…

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Why Reynaldo?

Why Reynaldo?

The Nationals sent Lucas Giolito back down to the minors and have called up Reynaldo Lopez for his Major League debut tomorrow. So I decided to take a look at possible reasons for that decision. Giolito did ok in his first rain shortened start giving up only 1 hit in 4 innings but the 2 BB’s were a little concerning. Especially since this season he’s had a pattern of walking people to a tune of 4.3 BB/9 in the Eastern…

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Exploratory Data Analysis using Minor League Batting Statistics

Exploratory Data Analysis using Minor League Batting Statistics

Similar to graphically looking at Nationals minor league pitching stats I wanted to do the same with their minor league hitting stats per team. I decided to look at how the Nationals minor league team OPS is doing relative to their league and level. OPSĀ is a players OBP added to their SLG measure how good a player is doing offensively when those two metrics are taken into account. Since pitchers also bat I needed to do some data cleaning or…

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Exploratory Data Analysis of Nationals Minor League Pitching Stats

Exploratory Data Analysis of Nationals Minor League Pitching Stats

After attending SSAC this year I decided one of the skills I need to pick up is R. Well after finally finishing Grad School I finally have time. Best way for me to learn is to actually get some data I’m interested in. Daily I look up Nationals minor league statistics to see how the upcoming Nationals are doing. So minor league data made a lot of sense for me to collect and doing Exploratory Data Analysis(seeing the data) is…

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